June 7, 2013
Re: Subtropical Storm Andrea Update
The New Jersey Office of Emergency Management (NJOEM) and the National Weather Service (NWS) continue to forecast and monitor conditions, as Subtropical Storm Andrea progresses through our area.
NJOEM reports that Andrea was located in North Carolina late this morning and was moving northeastward at 28 MPH. Andrea’s track will affect the region today, tonight and into Saturday. Regardless of whether Andrea is still a named tropical system when it arrives in our area, significant amounts of tropical moisture will stream up the East Coast, bringing the potential for heavy rainfall to the region.
Widespread rainfall amounts of two to four inches are expected ending on Saturday morning. Rainfall amounts in this range will produce flash flooding, as well as potential river flooding. The Official National Hurricane Center track has shifted slightly westward with the 11 AM advisory. This could bring stronger winds to the area, especially southern and eastern sections.
Flash flooding remains the main threat from this event. However, the threat for mainstem river flooding would be on Saturday, June 8th into Sunday, June 9th. Winds may gust up to 40 mph along the Atlantic coasts of New Jersey & Delaware, 25 to 35 mph over inland sections east of I-95, and up to 25 mph west of I-95.
Minor coastal flooding is possible with the Friday evening high tide.
Monitor the NJOEM blogs at http://readynj.wordpress.com/
And the NWS website for updated information. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi
REMEMBER: A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
Very truly yours,
William G. Dressel, Jr.